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Professor Judea Pearl’s tweets

Hi again. Can you recommend me some papers on the theoretical link between causality and counterfactuals?


Glad you asked. I have been in this business for 3 decades and have not found anything clearer, more rigorous or friendlier than Chapter 4 of Primer. Here is a free link Enjoy, and don’t let the mystics tell you counterfacuals are “hard”.


Not so fast…
counterfactual theories of causation:


I disagree with Hitchcock (author of, counterfactuals come first, causation second. The former is consensual, the latter debatable.