Professor Judea Pearl’s tweets

Glad you asked. I have been in this business for 3 decades and have not found anything clearer, more rigorous or friendlier than Chapter 4 of Primer. Here is a free link https://t.co/Sf5yw328zl. Enjoy, and don't let the mystics tell you counterfacuals...

Efficient Intervention Design for Causal Discovery with Latents

Raghavendra Addanki, Shiva Prasad Kasiviswanathan, Andrew McGregor, Cameron Musco Professor Judea Pearl wrote:”An interesting paper on causal discovery using both observations and interventions. The problem is to recover a causal graph while...

Plenary 2: The Mathematics of Causal Inference: with Reflections on Machine Learning

Professor Judea Pearl wrote:In my Microsoft lecture here, I talked about statistics as the “calculus of shadows” and causality as a 3D calculus. I can think of several 4D’s and 5D’s, like object-based and agent-based calculi. But...

What Statisticians Want to Know about Causal Inference and The Book of Why

I was privileged to be interviewed recently by David Hand, Professor of Statistics at Imperial College, London, and a former President of the Royal Statistical Society. I would like to share this interview with readers of this blog since many of the questions...

Former Prime MInister of Finland discussed the Social Contract 2020, a New Social Contract in the Age of AI

On May 12, 2020 at the online AIWS Roundtable, co-organized by World Leadership Alliance-Club de Madrid (WLA-CdM) and the Boston Global Forum (BGF), Former Prime Minister of Finland Esko Aho discussed the Social Contract 2020, a New Social Contract in...

Causal Thinking in the Twilight Zone

Judea Pearl University of California, Los Angeles Computer Science Department Los Angeles, CA, 90095-1596, USA (310) 825-3243 / [email protected] To students of causality, the writings of William Cochran provide an excellent and intriguing vantage...

A New Social Contract in the Age of Artificial Intelligence – Framework For Social Contract 2020

Version 1.0, 05/05/2020 Nazli Choucri, Michael Dukakis, Tuan Anh Nguyen, Thomas Patterson, Alex Pentland, Nghia Trong Pham, David Silbersweig   I.            A  New Social Contract in the age of Artificial Intelligence The term “artificial...

BAYESIANISM AND CAUSALITY, OR, WHY I AM ONLY A HALF-BAYESIAN

In D. Corfield and J. Williamson (Eds.) Foundations of Bayesianism, Kluwer Applied Logic Series, Kluwer Academic Publishers,Vol. 24, 19-36, 2001. TECHNICAL REPORT R-284 July 2001   JUDEA PEARL   1 INTRODUCTION I turned Bayesian in 1971, as soon...

The History of AI: Stories about Frank Ramsey

“Frank Ramsey—a philosopher, economist, and mathematician—was one of the greatest minds of the last century. Have we caught up with him yet?” By Anthony Gottlieb Professor Judea Pearl, Mentor of AIWS.net, said: “Ramsey was definitely one of...